Sabrina Ullman: Muggy Monday with afternoon rain

Tonight will be cloudy with a light east wind. Overnight lows will range from the low fifties to upper sixties. A warm front will bring showers and potentially a few thunderstorms to portions of Koochiching and Itasca Counties.

Dense fog is likely again tonight, impacting areas closest to the lake and low-lying portions of the South Shore.

Afternoon highs Monday will climb to the upper eighties south of the Twin Ports, with some locations reaching 90 degrees. Areas close to Lake Superior will be in the seventies, while the Iron Range reaches the low eighties.

Scattered showers are expected Monday afternoon, lasting into the evening as a slow-moving cold front enters the region. Strong thunderstorms are possible in the evening, and we could see some large hail form.

Independence Day will begin with clear skies, but that will not last long. Rain chances return at around 11 am, with showers becoming widespread in the afternoon. This will likely continue through the night and into Wednesday.

Northern Wisconsin, the U.P., and Carlton, Pine, and Aitkin Counties, as well as portions of Itasca, St. Louis, and Lake Counties, are all under a slight risk for severe weather Tuesday afternoon into the evening. Scattered severe thunderstorms could form during this time. Hail up to 1.75″, damaging winds, and a tornado or two are all in the realm of possibility.

Tonight

Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. East wind around 5 mph.

Monday

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west in the afternoon.

Independence Day

A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely before 10pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10pm and 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Wednesday

A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Breezy, with a northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

Friday

Sunny, with a high near 77. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

Saturday

A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

Sunday

A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.